A German team is due in few days probably on
August 5th according tosources to look into possibility of signing the
accord for provision ofU-214 submarines to Pakistan Navy.
However
reports appearing in the media suggest that the deal may hitsnags due
to change of mind in the current Pakistani government overpurchase of
German submarines.
In 2008 Pakistan Navy under chief of navel staff
Admiral MuhammadAfzal Tahir made efforts for including German 214 Class
submarines inits fleet and owing to Navy’s persistent efforts, the
government hadapproved plans for acquisition of these submarines to be
built atKarachi Shipyard under transfer of technology programme.
The details were later worked out between the two countries when a Pakistan Navy delegation visited Germany in April.
However
recently quoting Pakistani government sources, the FinancialTimes
Deutschland says President Asif Zardari may overrule hismilitary’s
preference for the German subs to take up a “better offer”from France.
But
what better submarines France can offer to Pakistan? That is aquestion
to ponder because France has no better submarines to offer Pakistan at
the moment whereas French are indeed not ready to offer usnuclear
submarine.
What France has in store? :
There are three options 1.
Scorpion, 2. Marlin and 3. Barracudasubmarines. But again the Scorpions
are not superior to U 214, neitherthese will be having any benefit for
Pakistan because French companyDCN is already going to provide Scorpion
to Indian Navy ahead ofPakistan.
U-214 is way better than French
design given to India. Marlin isjust on drawing board and will take
forever to go to prototype stageand then test and evaluation and finally
induction into Pakistan Navymeanwhile India will have all its Scorpion
in sea. DCN (Direction desConstructions Navales ), France will not be
able to fulfill Pakistaniorder ahead of Indians. The success of Marlin,
or weather or not itwill be better than U-214 German sub cannot be
predicted. Currently,U-214 for the best non-nuclear submarine in the
world, and our friendsin Turkey will soon produce it at home with the
license of production.
Now the only option for Pakistan will be to
ask for Barracudasubmarine but it is unlikely that France will sell us
nuclearsubmarine. Barracuda is a nuclear powered submarine and France
does notcurrently allow the sale of nuclear-propelled submarines.
Despite
having French Agosta-90B submarines, the Pakistani Navyopted for
purchasing German Torpedoes for fitting to Agosta-90B due tothe superior
German technology.
Pakistan Navy needs German submarines because the German U-214 subs are far better than the French Scorpion.
If
the current government goes for inferior quality Frenchsubmarines then
it will indeed give weight to suspicion of manyPakistanis who see bribes
as main factor behind any irrationaldecisions viz viz defence deals.
Already the Pakistani senators have demanded in an incamera briefing from Pakistani Naval chief in the Senate.
Whereas
some eyebrows have also been raised over the fact thatforeign secretary
Salman Bashir in the current government of Zardari isthe brother of
Naval Chief, Noman Bashir and there are also somereports that PIA
chairman is going to be named Pakistani envoy toFrance. Some political
pundits see such an appointment an attempt tomuster a deal for French
submarines.
On the other hand submarine acquisition project (SMAP) a
groupcomposed of Naval officers who have recommended U-214 submarines
overother options after extensive study has been disbanded and the
officershave been posted out at different stations.
Though earlier
the Germans have delayed the deal due to politicalsituation of Pakistan
but can kickoff cutting of hull for firstsubmarine immediately after
signing the deal.
In such a situation going for something which does
not fulfill therequirement of Pakistan Navy would be tantamount to
putting thenational defence at risk.
There is no reason not to go for
German submarines specially whenBerlin even granted federal export
credit guarantees worth nearly $1.4billion for the purchase of the same.