The southern route via Pakistan, now seems impractical
for political reasons - the relations between the U.S. and Pakistan are at
their worst.
That leaves the northern route through Russia. Things are not yet buckled but take
shape. The idea would be that all
materials will be conditioned to Warehouse (Kabul) and transported in
Uzbekistan.From there, he embark on Russian trains bound for the Baltic
countries (Lithuania and Latvia), then through Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and
Russia. As a guide, it takes
about three days to reach Moscow from Central Asia. This is a long journey, with many
borders to cross, the local sensitivities to be struck, and precautions. From the Baltic coast, equipment and
vehicles will embark on ships bound for France - probably Toulon.
The main question is: how to leave Kabul to join Central
Asia? By road or by air? The hypothesis is the most economical
road, but the most dangerous. Road
convoys are threatened throughout the course by the insurgents, not counting
the "simple" physical difficulties. The
road passes including the Salang tunnel, which the Soviets which have lost
hundreds of men in 1982, probably as a result of an attack ...The land route
would require significant resources protection (helicopters, drones, tanks,
infantry) that would be quite difficult to ask our allies.
Solution remains the airline with the rental of Antonov
124, which would make an air bridge to neighboring Uzbekistan (an early
flight), with two daily round trips by air. This
solution is expensive, is much safer. It
would nevertheless be cheaper than flights to the UAE, where the break would be
to load the boats. The flight
hour costs about 124 Year 25 000 dollars ...
This road, through the UAE, will nevertheless be used for
part of the material more sensitive than the French military did not
necessarily want to see walking on Russian railways.
Anyway, the Russian option requires political management
of the case. Clearly, this is not
the time to be angry with Moscow on other issues. For example, Syria
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