Iran has resumed shipping military equipment to Syria over Iraqi airspace in a new effort to bolster the embattled government of President Bashar al-Assad of Syria, according to senior American officials.
The Obama administration pressed Iraq to shut down the air corridor that Iran had been using earlier this year, raising the issue with Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki
of Iraq. But as Syrian rebels gained ground and Mr. Assad’s government
was rocked by a bombing that killed several high officials, Iran doubled
down in supporting the Syrian leader. The flights started up again in
July and, to the frustration of American officials, have continued ever
since.
Military experts say that the flights have enabled Iran to provide
supplies to the Syrian government despite the efforts Syrian rebels have
made to seize several border crossings where Iranian aid has been
trucked in.
“The Iranians have no problems in the air, and the Syrian regime still
controls the airport,” said a retired Lebanese Army general, Hisham
Jaber, who heads the Middle East Center for Studies and Research in
Beirut.
Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.,
who has played the lead role on Iraq policy for the Obama
administration, discussed the Syrian crisis in a phone call with Mr.
Maliki on Aug. 17. The White House has declined to disclose details, but
an American official who would not speak on the record said that Mr.
Biden had registered his concerns over the flights.
The Iranian flights present searching questions for the United States.
The Obama administration has been reluctant to provide arms to the
Syrian rebels or establish a no-fly zone over Syria for fear of being
drawn deeper into the Syrian conflict. But the aid provided by Iran
underscores the reality that Iran has no such hesitancy in providing
military supplies and advisers to keep Mr. Assad’s government in power.
And Mr. Maliki’s tolerance of Iran’s use of Iraqi airspace suggests the
limits of the Obama administration’s influence in Iraq, despite the
American role in toppling Saddam Hussein and ushering in a new
government. The American influence also appears limited despite its
assertion that it is building a strategic partnership with the Iraqis.
Mr. Maliki has sought to maintain relations with Iran, while the United
States has led the international effort to impose sanctions on the
Tehran government. At the same time, the Iraqi prime minister appears to
look at the potential fall of Mr. Assad as a development that might
strengthen his Sunni Arab and Kurdish rivals in the region. Some states
that are the most eager to see Mr. Assad go, like Saudi Arabia, Qatar
and Turkey, have poor relations with Mr. Maliki and his Shiite-dominated
government.
Iraq could take several steps to stop the flights, including insisting
that cargo planes that depart from Iran en route to Syria land for
inspection in Baghdad or declaring outright that Iraq’s airspace cannot
be used for the flights.
Iraq does not have a functioning air force, and since the withdrawal of
American forces last December, the United States has no planes stationed
in the country. Several airlines have been involved in ferrying the
arms, according to American officials, including Mahan Air, a commercial
Iranian airline that the United States Treasury Department said last
year had ferried men, supplies and money for Iran’s paramilitary Quds
Force and Hezbollah, the militant Lebanese group backed by Iran.
One former American official said it was not entirely clear what cargo
was being sent to Syria before the flights stopped in March. But because
of the type of planes involved, the nature of the carriers and the
Iranians’ reluctance to have the planes inspected in Iraq, it was
presumed to be tactical military equipment.
At the time the flights were suspended, Iraq was preparing to host the
Arab League summit meeting, which brought to Baghdad many leaders
opposed to Mr. Assad. Immediately after the meeting, President Obama, in
an April 3 call to Mr. Maliki, reinforced the message that the flights
should not continue.
Iran has an enormous stake in Syria. It is Iran’s staunchest Arab ally, a
nation that borders the Mediterranean and Lebanon, and has provided a
channel for Iran’s support to Hezbollah.
s part of Iran’s assistance to the Assad government, it has provided the
Syrian authorities with the training and technology to intercept
communications and monitor the Internet, according to American
officials. Iranian Quds Force personnel, they say, have been involved in
training the heavily Alawite paramilitary forces the government has
increasingly relied on, as well as Syrian forces that secure the
nation’s air bases.
The Iranians have even provided a cargo plane that the Syrian military
can use to ferry men and supplies around the country, according to two
American officials.
In a new twist, according to one American official, there have been
reliable reports that Iraqi Shiite militia fighters, long backed by Iran
during its efforts to shape events inside Iraq, are now making their
way to Syria to help the Assad government.
While they have not specifically discussed the assistance it is
airlifting to Syria, American officials have spoken publicly about
Iran’s involvement there. “Iran is playing a larger role in Syria in
many ways,” Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta said last month. “There’s
now an indication that they’re trying to develop, or trying to train, a
militia within Syria to fight on behalf of the regime.”
David Cohen, a senior Treasury Department official on terrorism issues,
said last month that Hezbollah has been training Syrian government
personnel and has facilitated the training of Syrian forces by Iran’s
Quds Force.
In his comments last month, Mr. Panetta insisted that the Iranian
efforts would merely “bolster a regime that we think ultimately is going
to come down.” But some Iranian experts believe that the Iranian
leadership may be unlikely to stop its involvement in Syria even if Mr.
Assad is overthrown, having calculated that a chaotic Syria is better
than a new government that might be sympathetic to the West.
“Plan A is to keep Bashar al-Assad in power,” said Mohsen Sazegara, an
Iranian pro-democracy activist who lives in the United States and who
was one of the founding members of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards. “But
Plan B is that if they can’t keep him in power anymore they will try to
make another Iraq or another Afghanistan — civil war — then you can
create another Hezbollah.”
As vocal as the Pentagon and the State Department have been about the
Iranian role, they have been loath to publicly discuss the Iranian
flights or the touchy questions it poses about American relations with
the Maliki government. The State Department, when asked Tuesday about
the Iranian flights over Iraq and what efforts the United States had
made in Baghdad to encourage the Iraqi government to stop them, would
not provide an official comment.
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